Probability Calculator
Single Event Probability P(A)
P(A)
1/6 = 0.1667 = 16.67%
Multiple Events (Independent)
P(A AND B) = P(A) × P(B)
0.15 = 15%
P(A OR B) = P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)
0.65 = 65%
P(not A)
0.5 = 50%
P(not B)
0.7 = 70%
Combinations & Permutations
C(n,r) = n!/(r!(n-r)!)
120
P(n,r) = n!/(n-r)!
720
Understanding Probability, Combinations, and Permutations
Probability measures how likely an event is to occur, expressed as a number between 0 (impossible) and 1 (certain). The basic formula is P(A) = favorable outcomes divided by total possible outcomes. For example, the probability of rolling a 3 on a standard die is 1/6, since there is one favorable outcome out of six possibilities.
When working with multiple events, two key rules apply. For independent events happening together (AND), multiply their individual probabilities: P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B). For the probability of either event occurring (OR), add their probabilities and subtract the overlap: P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B). The complement rule states P(not A) = 1 − P(A).
Combinations and permutations count the ways to select items from a group. Combinations ignore order: C(n,r) = n! / (r!(n-r)!). Use combinations when choosing a committee or lottery numbers. Permutations consider order: P(n,r) = n! / (n-r)!. Use permutations when arranging items in specific positions, like race placements or password characters. This calculator handles all these calculations, displaying results as fractions, decimals, and percentages for maximum clarity.
Formula
Basic Probability:
P(A) = Favorable Outcomes / Total Outcomes
Union (OR):
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)
Intersection (AND) for independent events:
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B)
Conditional Probability:
P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)
Where:
- P(A) = probability of event A occurring
- P(A ∪ B) = probability of A or B (or both) occurring
- P(A ∩ B) = probability of both A and B occurring
- P(A | B) = probability of A given that B has occurred
Example Calculation
Scenario: What is the probability of rolling a 5 OR getting heads on a coin?
- Step 1: P(rolling 5) = 1/6 ≈ 0.167
- Step 2: P(heads) = 1/2 = 0.5
- Step 3: Events are independent, so P(A ∩ B) = 1/6 × 1/2 = 1/12 ≈ 0.083
- Step 4: P(A ∪ B) = 0.167 + 0.5 − 0.083 = 0.583
- Result: 58.3% chance of rolling a 5 or flipping heads (or both)